IIBOSHI HIROKUNI

College of EconomicsProfessor

Research Keyword

  • マクロ計量経済モデル
  • 動学的確率的一般均衡モデル
  • DSGEモデル
  • ニューケインジアンモデル
  • ベイズ統計学
  • マルコフ連鎖モンテカルロ法
  • 経済政策
  • 金融政策
  • 財政政策

Field Of Study

  • Humanities & social sciences, Economic statistics
  • Humanities & social sciences, Economic policy

Career

  • Apr. 2022 - Present
    Nihon University, College of Economics, 教授
  • 2008 - 2021
    Tokyo Metropolitan University
  • Aug. 2015 - Mar. 2016
    米国 Vanderbilt University, 客員研究員
  • 2005 - 2007
    近畿大学大学院 経済研究科
  • 2004 - 2005
    日本銀行 金融研究所
  • 2003 - 2004
    Tokyo Metropolitan University
  • 1987 - 1997
    東京電力 株式会社
  • 2007 - 2022
  • 2015 - 2016
  • 2007 - 2022
  • 2015 - 2016
  • 2007 - 2022
  • 2015 - 2016

Educational Background

  • Apr. 2002 - Nov. 2003
    Osaka University
  • Apr. 2000 - Mar. 2002
    大阪大学大学院 経済学研究科 博士前期課程
  • 1998 - 1999
    英国 Warwick 大学大学院, Graduate School of Economics
  • Apr. 1983 - Mar. 1987
    Waseda University

Member History

  • Oct. 2011 - Mar. 2013
  • Oct. 2008 - Mar. 2011

Award

  • The Japan Association of Business Cycle studies (JABC),, Nakahara Encouraging Prize
    Hirokuni Iiboshi
  • 大阪大学 社会経済研究所, 森口賞 入選

Paper

  • "Estimating a Behavioral New Keynesian Model with the Zero Lower Bound,"
    Yasuo Hirose; Hirokuni Iiboshi; Mototsugu Shintani; Kozo Ueda
    Journal of Money, Credit & Banking (forthcoming), Nov. 2023, Refereed, Not invited
  • The Nexus between Public Debt and the Government Spending Multiplier: Fiscal Adjustments Matter*
    Yasuharu Iwata; Hirokuni IIboshi
    Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Mar. 2023, Refereed
  • Estimating a Nonlinear New Keynesian Model with the Zero Lower Bound for Japan
    Hirokuni Iiboshi; Mototsugu Shintani; Kozo Ueda
    JOURNAL OF MONEY CREDIT AND BANKING, Sep. 2022, Refereed, Not invited
    Lead
  • The Impact of the Social Security Reforms on Welfare: Who benefits and Who loses across Generations, Gender, and Employment Type?
    Hirokuni Iiboshi; Daisuke Ozaki
    May 2022
  • The temporal dependence of public policy evaluation: the case of local government amalgamation
    Dana McQuestin; Joseph Drew; Hirokuni Iiboshi
    Local Government Studies, Feb. 2022, Refereed
  • The interaction of forward guidance in a two-country new Keynesian model
    Daisuke Ida; Hirokuni Iiboshi
    Mar. 2021
  • Source of the Great Recession
    Ryo Hasumi; Hirokuni Iiboshi; Tatsuyoshi Matsumae; Shin-Ichi Nishiyama
    Financial Crises, Dec. 2019, Refereed, Not invited
  • Does a financial accelerator improve forecasts during financial crises? Evidence from Japan with prediction-pooling methods
    Ryo Hasumi; Hirokuni Iiboshi; Tatsuyoshi Matsumae; Daisuke Nakamura
    JOURNAL OF ASIAN ECONOMICS, Feb. 2019, Refereed, Not invited
  • Trends, cycles and lost decades: Decomposition from a DSGE model with endogenous growth
    Ryo Hasumi; Hirokuni Iiboshi; Daisuke Nakamura
    JAPAN AND THE WORLD ECONOMY, Jun. 2018, Refereed, Not invited
  • A multiple DSGE-VAR approach: Priors from a combination of DSGE models and evidence from Japan
    Hirokuni Iiboshi
    JAPAN AND THE WORLD ECONOMY, Dec. 2016, Refereed, Not invited
  • Public Debt, Ricardian Fiscal Policy, and Time-Varying Government Spending Multipliers
    Yasuharu Iwata; Hirokuni Iiboshi
    22nd Computing in Economics and Finace (Bordeaux, France), Jun. 2016, Not refereed, Not invited
  • Monetary policy regime shifts under the zero lower bound: An application of a stochastic rational expectations equilibrium to a Markov switching DSGE model
    Hirokuni Iiboshi
    ECONOMIC MODELLING, Jan. 2016, Refereed
  • Comparing Prediction Pool Methods for DSGE models: Is Financial Friction useful for improving prediction in Japan?
    Hirokuni Iiboshi
    日本経済学会秋季大会 (上智大学) 報告論文, Jun. 2015, Not refereed, Not invited
  • Estimating a DSGE model for Japan in a data-rich environment
    Hirokuni Iiboshi; Tatsuyoshi Matsumae; Ryoichi Namba; Shin-Ichi Nishiyama
    JOURNAL OF THE JAPANESE AND INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIES, Jun. 2015, Refereed, Not invited
  • Time-varying Fiscal Multipilers Identified with Sign and Zero Resrictions
    Hirokuni Iiboshi; Yasuharu Iwata
    21st Computing in Economics and Finance 2015 (台北) 報告論文, May 2015, Not refereed, Not invited
  • Sources of Great Recession: A Bayesian Approach of a Data Rich DSGE model with Time-Varying-Volatility Shocks
    Hirokuni Iiboshi; with; Matsumae. T; Nishiyama, Shin-Ichi
    内閣府 経済社会総合研究所 Discussion Paper Series No.313, 2014, Not refereed, Not invited
  • Prediction of Terms Structure with Potentially Misspecified Macro-Finance Models near the Zero Lower Bound
    Hirokuni Iiboshi; with Tsz-Kin Chung
    内閣府 経済社会総合研究所 Working Paper Series No.32,, 2014, Not refereed, Not invited
  • An Application of Hybrid MCMC and Simulation Smoother in Estimating a DSGE Model with Measurement Errors(Applications of MCMC to Data on Economics and Management)
    Matsumae Tatsuyoshi; Iiboshi Hirokuni; Namba Ryoichi; Nishiyama Shin-Ichi
    Journal of the Japan Statistical Society Japanese issue, Sep. 2011, Refereed, Not invited
  • Forecasting of Coincident Composite Index Using an Affine Term Structure Model : A Macro-Finance Approach
    Ichikawa Tatsuo; Iiboshi Hirokuni
    Journal of the Japan Statistical Society Japanese issue, Mar. 2011, Refereed, Not invited
  • マクロ経済変数のトレンドとサイクルの分離法の検証 -日本の実質GDPと失業率への応用-
    Hirokuni Iiboshi
    内閣府 経済社会総合研究所 Discussion paper series No.261, 2011, Not refereed, Not invited
  • 景気循環の周期と位相偏移の推定-単変量および多変量バンドパスフィルタによる接近-
    Hirokuni Iiboshi
    内閣府 経済社会総合研究所 Discussion paper series No. 257., 2010, Not refereed, Not invited
  • 主成分分析によるマクロ経済パネルデータの共通ファクターの抽出とその利用
    Hirokuni Iiboshi
    ESRI Discussion paper series No. 219, 2009, Not refereed, Not invited
  • Does the Agency Cost Model Explain Business Fluctuations in Japan? : A Bayesian Approach to Estimate Agency Cost for Firms Classified by Size
    Hirokuni Iiboshi with; Kazuo Ogawa
    Journal of the Japan Statistical Society, 2008, Refereed, Not invited
  • Duration dependence of the business cycle in Japan: A Bayesian analysis of extended Markov switching model
    Hirokuni Iiboshi
    JAPAN AND THE WORLD ECONOMY, Jan. 2007, Refereed, Not invited
  • The index of agency cost and the financial accelerator: the case of Japan
    H Uchiyama
    JAPAN AND THE WORLD ECONOMY, Jan. 2006, Refereed, Not invited
  • Has the Business Cycle Changed in Japan? A Bayesian Analysis Based on a Markov Switching Model with Multiple Change Points
    Hirokuni Iiboshi; with Toshiaki Watanabe
    2005, Not refereed, Not invited
  • An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Japanese Economy: A Bayesian Analysis
    Hirokuni Iiboshi; with Shin-Ichi Nishiyama; Toshiaki Watanabe
    2005, Not refereed, Not invited
  • Do Structural Breaks Exist in Okun's Law? Evidence from the Lost Decade in Japan
    Hirokuni Iiboshi; with Shigeru Wakit
    2004, Not refereed, Not invited

MISC

  • Monetary and Fiscal Policy Switching in Nonlinear New Keynesian Models
    飯星 博邦
    経営と制度, Mar. 2017
  • 中原奨励賞受賞記念講演 景気循環と現代マクロ経済学—中原奨励賞10周年記念特別号
    飯星 博邦
    景気とサイクル / 景気循環学会 編, Nov. 2016
  • Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy: A DSGE-DFM Approach
    Hirokuni Iiboshi
    内閣府 経済社会総合研究所 Discussion Paper Series No.292, 2012, Not refereed, Not invited
  • Regime Shifts in a Dynamic Term Structure Model of Japanese Government Bond Yields
    飯星 博邦
    日本ファイナンス学会第18回大会予稿集, 2010
  • 景気循環を語る(第14回)日本における景気循環の構造変化--複数の構造変化点を付加したマルコフ・スイッチングモデルのベイズ推定
    飯星 博邦; 渡部 敏明
    日経研月報 = The Japan Economic Research Institute monthly report, Jan. 2006

Books and other publications

  • 世界同時不況と景気循環分析
    浅子和美; 宮川努; 浅子 和美; 宮川 努; 飯塚 信夫, Contributor, 量的緩和-レジームスイッチVARからみた2つの政策効果
    東京大学出版会, Mar. 2011, Not refereed
    413040251X
  • 日本経済の構造変化と景気循環
    浅子和美; 宮川努, Contributor, 5章: 景気循環の構造変化と景気転換点
    東京大学出版会, Jul. 2007, Not refereed
    4130402331

Lectures, oral presentations, etc.

  • Estimating a Medium-scale New Keynesian Model under the Zero Lower Bound for Japan
    Hirokuni Iiboshi
    国際学会 CEF 2024 (シンガポール 南洋理工大学), Jun. 2024, Not invited
  • "The Impact of the Social Security Reforms on Welfare: Who benefits and who loses across Generations, Gender and Employment Types?" (with Daisuke Ozaki )
    15 Oct. 2022, Not invited
  • "A Bayesian Estimation of HANK models with Continuous Time Approach: Comparison between US and Japan,"
    国際学会25th Computing in Economic& Finance, (CEF), Jun. 2019
  • Time-varying Fiscal Multipliers Identified by Systematic Component: Bayesian Approach to TVP-SVAR model
    15th International Conference,, Mar. 2019, Western Economic Association, Not invited
  • Estimating a Nonlinear New Keynesian Model with a Zero Lower Bound for Japan
    Vietnam Symposium in Banking and Finance (VSBF2018), Oct. 2018, Not invited
  • Estimating a Nonlinear New Keynesian Model with a Zero Lower Bound for Japan
    4th Annual meeting of International Association of Applied Economics (IAAE), Jun. 2017, Not invited
  • Zero interest rate policy and asymmetric price adjustment in Japan: an empirical analysis of a nonlinear DSGE model
    国際学会22nd Computing in Economic& Finance, (CEF), Jun. 2016
  • Public Debt, Ricardian Fiscal Policy, and Time-Varying Government Spending Multipliers
    国際学会22nd Computing in Economic& Finance, (CEF), Jun. 2016, Not invited
  • Time-varying Fiscal Multipliers Identified with Sign and Zero Restrictions
     21st Computing in Economics & Finance (CEF), Jun. 2015
  • Sources of Great Recession: A Bayesian Approach of a Data Rich DSGE model with Time-Varying-Volatility Shocks
    国際学会46th Annual Conference of Money, Macro, Finance (MMF), Sep. 2014, Not invited
  • "The Impact of the Social Security Reforms on Welfare: Who benefits and who loses across Generations, Gender and Employment Types?" (with Daisuke Ozaki )
    15 Oct. 2022, Not invited
  • "A Bayesian Estimation of HANK models with Continuous Time Approach: Comparison between US and Japan,"
    国際学会25th Computing in Economic& Finance, (CEF), Jun. 2019
  • Time-varying Fiscal Multipliers Identified by Systematic Component: Bayesian Approach to TVP-SVAR model
    15th International Conference,, Mar. 2019, Western Economic Association, Not invited
  • Estimating a Nonlinear New Keynesian Model with a Zero Lower Bound for Japan
    Vietnam Symposium in Banking and Finance (VSBF2018), Oct. 2018, Not invited
  • Estimating a Nonlinear New Keynesian Model with a Zero Lower Bound for Japan
    4th Annual meeting of International Association of Applied Economics (IAAE), Jun. 2017, Not invited
  • Zero interest rate policy and asymmetric price adjustment in Japan: an empirical analysis of a nonlinear DSGE model
    国際学会22nd Computing in Economic& Finance, (CEF), Jun. 2016
  • Public Debt, Ricardian Fiscal Policy, and Time-Varying Government Spending Multipliers
    国際学会22nd Computing in Economic& Finance, (CEF), Jun. 2016, Not invited
  • Time-varying Fiscal Multipliers Identified with Sign and Zero Restrictions
     21st Computing in Economics & Finance (CEF), Jun. 2015
  • Sources of Great Recession: A Bayesian Approach of a Data Rich DSGE model with Time-Varying-Volatility Shocks
    国際学会46th Annual Conference of Money, Macro, Finance (MMF), Sep. 2014, Not invited
  • "The Impact of the Social Security Reforms on Welfare: Who benefits and who loses across Generations, Gender and Employment Types?" (with Daisuke Ozaki )
    15 Oct. 2022, Not invited
  • "A Bayesian Estimation of HANK models with Continuous Time Approach: Comparison between US and Japan,"
    国際学会25th Computing in Economic& Finance, (CEF), Jun. 2019
  • Time-varying Fiscal Multipliers Identified by Systematic Component: Bayesian Approach to TVP-SVAR model
    15th International Conference,, Mar. 2019, Western Economic Association, Not invited
  • Estimating a Nonlinear New Keynesian Model with a Zero Lower Bound for Japan
    Vietnam Symposium in Banking and Finance (VSBF2018), Oct. 2018, Not invited
  • Estimating a Nonlinear New Keynesian Model with a Zero Lower Bound for Japan
    4th Annual meeting of International Association of Applied Economics (IAAE), Jun. 2017, Not invited
  • Zero interest rate policy and asymmetric price adjustment in Japan: an empirical analysis of a nonlinear DSGE model
    国際学会22nd Computing in Economic& Finance, (CEF), Jun. 2016
  • Public Debt, Ricardian Fiscal Policy, and Time-Varying Government Spending Multipliers
    国際学会22nd Computing in Economic& Finance, (CEF), Jun. 2016, Not invited
  • Time-varying Fiscal Multipliers Identified with Sign and Zero Restrictions
     21st Computing in Economics & Finance (CEF), Jun. 2015
  • Sources of Great Recession: A Bayesian Approach of a Data Rich DSGE model with Time-Varying-Volatility Shocks
    国際学会46th Annual Conference of Money, Macro, Finance (MMF), Sep. 2014, Not invited

Affiliated academic society

  • American Statistical Association
  • American Economic Association
  • THE JAPAN STATISTICAL SOCIETY
  • JAPANESE ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION

Research Themes

  • 非線形DSGEモデルによる日本の非伝統的金融政策の効果の定量的計測
    日本学術振興会, 科学研究費助成事業, Apr. 2024 - Mar. 2027
    飯星 博邦
  • Estimating nonlinear behavioral macroeconomic models with the zero lower bound of nominal interest rates
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, 01 Apr. 2019 - 31 Mar. 2024
    上田 晃三; 新谷 元嗣; 飯星 博邦
  • An Application of Macroeconomic Heterogenous Agent Model to Monetary and Fiscal Policies and Social Security Systems in Japan
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C), Apr. 2021 - Mar. 2024
    飯星 博邦
  • Numerical Simulation and Empirical Study of Term Structure model by nonlinear DSGE model under ZLB
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C), Apr. 2018 - Mar. 2021
    Iiboshi Hirokuni
  • Developing new methods for improving prediction performance of both macro time series and effects of monetary and fiscal policies by combining multiple DSGE models
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C), Apr. 2015 - Mar. 2018
    Iiboshi Horokuni
  • Developing DSGE macromodel with balance sheet conditions and zero lower band on nominal interest rates
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, 01 Apr. 2012 - 31 Mar. 2015
    NISHIYAMA Shin-Ichi; IIBOSHI Hirokuni; MATSUMAE Tatsuyoshi; NAMBA Ryoichi; KATO Ryo; CHRISTENSEN Ian; CORRIGAN Paul; MENDICINO Caterina
  • データリッチ型ニューケインジアンモデルの開発と金融財政政策への応用
    日本学術振興会, 科研費 基盤 c, Apr. 2012 - Mar. 2015
    Hirokuni Iiboshi
  • Research on the financial risk management of a portfolio including alternative investments
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, 01 Apr. 2009 - 31 Mar. 2014
    KIJIMA Masaaki; TANAKA Keiichi; NAKAOKA Hidetaka; YAMASHITA Hideaki; WATANABE Takahiro; NOGUCHI Masayoshi; SHIBATA Takashi; MUROMACHI Yukio; IIBOSHI Hirokuni; OGATA Hiroaki
  • Empirical study of Monetary Policy and Simulation of Optimal Policy in Japan Using Dynamic General Equilibrium Model
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, 2009 - 2011
    IIBOSHI Hirokuni